The astrologer and the scientist

The astrologer and the scientist

Definitely not science (Public Domain)

Originally published 23 May 1988

After the Rea­gan-inspired media blitz of the last few weeks, you have prob­a­bly heard all you want to hear about astrology.

Don’t wor­ry, I won’t rehearse again the skep­tic’s case against the ancient “sci­ence” of the stars. I’ve learned my lesson.

A cou­ple of years ago I used this col­umn to debunk astrol­o­gy. I point­ed out the com­plete absence of any repro­ducible, empir­i­cal evi­dence link­ing indi­vid­ual human lives to the stars. I stressed the pos­i­tive virtues of sci­en­tif­ic skep­ti­cism, and sug­gest­ed that astrol­o­gy is fun­da­men­tal­ly anti-ratio­nal. For most of my audi­ence, I was preach­ing to the con­vert­ed. For the rest, no amount of debunk­ing would have made any difference.

But one good thing came out of the col­umn. I heard from a num­ber of pro­fes­sion­al astrologers and I was impressed by their sin­cer­i­ty. These peo­ple were con­vinced of the valid­i­ty of their craft and moti­vat­ed by an unselfish desire to help oth­ers. They offered gen­tle respons­es to my not-so-gen­tle criticisms.

I entered into a brief cor­re­spon­dence with one astrologer, a per­son who has pub­lished sev­er­al best-sell­ing books on the sub­ject. I even read his books. They were live­ly, well-writ­ten, and fun. As self-help books, this par­tic­u­lar author’s works con­tained much good, sen­si­ble advice. They evoked a sense of won­der for nature, a pos­i­tive atti­tude toward peo­ple, and (para­dox­i­cal­ly) a healthy sense of per­son­al responsibility.

Evidence and attitudes

I learned noth­ing from the books, or from my encoun­ters with oth­er astrologers, to per­suade me that astrol­o­gy is any­thing more than a sil­ly super­sti­tion. What I did learn is that there is no way for a sci­en­tist to con­vince an astrologer that his craft is super­sti­tious, and no way an astrologer will con­vert the sci­en­tist. It is not so much a mat­ter of evi­dence, as an atti­tude toward evi­dence. The astrologer and the sci­en­tist have dif­fer­ent cri­te­ria for truth, and, con­se­quent­ly, lit­tle hope for resolv­ing their differences.

When I see a per­son order­ing his life by the stars, I see the sur­ren­der of rea­son. When an astrologer sees a sci­en­tist “debunk­ing” his craft, he sees bias, con­spir­a­cy, or blink­ered fix­a­tion on dogma.

A cor­re­spon­dent to the Globe took issue with my ear­li­er col­umn this way: “Ray­mo’s argu­ment against astrol­o­gy is the usu­al one: astrol­o­gy can be done away with by sim­ply declar­ing it irra­tional. In oth­er words, if we can­not under­stand why it works, it must not work. The same flawed argu­ment could be used against elec­tro­mag­net­ism, par­ti­cle physics and the force of grav­i­ty, with equal­ly sense­less results.”

And it’s true. I don’t under­stand in any ulti­mate sense why elec­tro­mag­net­ism, par­ti­cle physics, or grav­i­ty works. Nobody does. But the point is this: Elec­tro­mag­net­ism, par­ti­cle physics, and grav­i­ty do work, in a way that astrol­o­gy does not. Exper­i­ments of the most exquis­ite sen­si­tiv­i­ty can be devised to test the for­mer the­o­ries, exper­i­ments that can be per­formed by believ­ers and skep­tics alike with iden­ti­cal results. Radio com­mu­ni­ca­tion, nuclear pow­er, and the space pro­gram are tes­ta­ments to the fact that elec­tro­mag­net­ism, par­ti­cle physics, and grav­i­ty work.

On the oth­er hand, every objec­tive test of astrol­o­gy I know of (with the pos­si­ble excep­tion of one high­ly con­tro­ver­sial study) has result­ed in failure.

Making science human

Then why do astrologers con­tin­ue to insist that astrol­o­gy works. Here’s why. I once had my birth chart done by an astrologer. She labored long over ephemerides and graphs, and then told me I was sen­si­tive, intel­li­gent, basi­cal­ly gen­er­ous, but some­times self-indul­gent, inclined toward opti­mism, but sub­ject to occa­sion­al bouts of depres­sion. Wow! Right on target.

In spite of reliance on num­bers, graphs, and even com­put­ers, astrol­o­gy has noth­ing to do with sci­ence, and no amount of objec­tive exper­i­ments will dis­suade an astrologer from his faith. So why raise the sub­ject once again? At the risk of con­de­scend­ing, let me sug­gest that there are a few things we can learn from each other.

Sci­en­tists should ask them­selves what is behind the incred­i­ble pop­u­lar appeal of astrol­o­gy. Sci­ence is wide­ly per­ceived as cold and aloof from human emo­tion­al needs and aspi­ra­tions. Until sci­en­tists can find ways to more effec­tive­ly com­mu­ni­cate the human face of sci­ence, there will con­tin­ue to be a wide audi­ence for pseu­do­science and superstition.

And astrologers should ask them­selves if they real­ly want to live in a world that is ruled by a slip­shod atti­tude toward evi­dence. We are fre­quent­ly remind­ed by astrologers that such great sci­en­tists as Kepler and New­ton believed in astrol­o­gy. True enough. But astrologers should also recall that Kepler’s moth­er was very near­ly burned as a witch, and that New­ton’s uni­ver­si­ty was closed because of the plague.

Witch­craft flour­ished because peo­ple imag­ined causal con­nec­tions where none exist­ed, and plague van­ished from Europe when peo­ple took note of causal con­nec­tions that could be ver­i­fied empir­i­cal­ly. It is no coin­ci­dence that witch­craft and plague dis­ap­peared from the west­ern world at about the same time that astrol­o­gy was final­ly dis­card­ed from science.

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