Good evidence makes science we can live with

Good evidence makes science we can live with

Photo by Glsun Mall on Unsplash

Originally published 9 July 2002

Crit­ics often com­plain that sci­ence is a closed shop, blind­ly com­mit­ted to defend­ing estab­lished “dog­mas,” and unwill­ing to enter­tain ideas that fall out­side accept­ed par­a­digms. Sci­en­tists will cir­cle the wag­ons around accept­ed the­o­ries like evo­lu­tion by nat­ur­al selec­tion, say the crit­ics, and dis­miss out-of-hand unortho­dox ideas like cre­ation­ism or homeopathy.

Are the com­plaints valid? Sev­er­al recent episodes show that sci­ence is more open to new ideas and to self-crit­i­cism than the crit­ics suppose.


In March of this year [2002], a group of sci­en­tists led by Rusi Tale­yarkhan of the Oak Ridge Nation­al Lab­o­ra­to­ry in Ten­nessee sought to pub­lish in the jour­nal Sci­ence evi­dence that they had achieved nuclear fusion in a table­top exper­i­ment. It is estab­lished wis­dom in sci­ence that nuclear fusion — the ener­gy-pro­duc­ing reac­tion that pow­ers the sun and hydro­gen bombs — can only be use­ful­ly har­nessed by huge­ly expen­sive hot fusion reac­tors that mim­ic con­di­tions that exist at the cen­ters of stars or in explo­sions of atom­ic bombs.

Tale­yarkhan and col­leagues chal­lenged that assump­tion. They had obtained fusion in a sim­ple, cheap exper­i­ment that almost any­one could per­form, they stated.

Some sci­en­tists did not want the paper pub­lished in Amer­i­ca’s pre­mier sci­en­tif­ic jour­nal. They recalled the media cir­cus that sur­round­ed the “cold-fusion” flap of the late 1980s, from which both sci­ence and the media emerged with egg on their faces.

But the Oak Ridge sci­en­tists offered some­thing the “cold-fusion” sci­en­tists of the 1980s did not offer — a plau­si­ble expla­na­tion for how fusion occurred in their exper­i­ments, involv­ing a process called “acoustic cav­i­ta­tion,” in which sound waves in a flu­id cause bub­bles to appear and then sud­den­ly col­lapse, gen­er­at­ing briefly and micro­scop­i­cal­ly exceed­ing­ly high tem­per­a­tures and pressures.

The jour­nal chose to pub­lish the paper after peer review cer­ti­fied that the exper­i­ments seemed to be reli­ably done. Sci­ence edi­tor-in-chief Don Kennedy said: “We are not wise enough to cer­ti­fy that every claim will stand up to the active effort of replication.”

Will the new fusion exper­i­ments stand up to scruti­ny? Can they be repli­cat­ed by the doubters? Stay tuned.

[The exper­i­ments were not able to be repli­cat­ed. In 2008, Tale­yarkhan was judged guilty by a review board of research mis­con­duct. ‑Ed.]


For a long time it has been the estab­lished view that cer­tain 3.5 bil­lion-year-old rocks of the Earth­’s crust bear unmis­tak­able chem­i­cal and phys­i­cal evi­dence of bio­log­ic activ­i­ty, and that there­fore life has exist­ed on Earth for at least that long. Then, in 1996, came the extra­or­di­nary claim that a Mar­t­ian mete­orite dis­cov­ered in Antarc­ti­ca con­tained sim­i­lar evi­dence for life. “Life on Mars!” the news­pa­pers screamed.

The Mar­t­ian mete­orite has now under­gone exhaus­tive study, and most sci­en­tists agree that the so-called evi­dence for life can be account­ed for by nonor­gan­ic process­es. Part­ly as a con­se­quence of the mete­orite con­tro­ver­sy, geol­o­gists have been reex­am­in­ing claims for ancient life in ter­res­tri­al rocks, chal­leng­ing the con­ven­tion­al wis­dom that rocks as old as 3.5 bil­lion years con­tain evi­dence of organ­ic activity.

On April 9 [in 2002], at the sec­ond Astro­bi­ol­o­gy Sci­ence Con­fer­ence, held at NASA’s Ames Research Cen­ter in Cal­i­for­nia, Bill Schopf, cham­pi­on of ancient life, and Mar­tin Brasi­er, who holds that the so-called ancient “fos­sils” have a non­bi­o­log­i­cal ori­gin, squared off against each oth­er in what the jour­nal Nature called “a heavy­weight prize­fight.” Each sci­en­tist gave his best shot. Oth­ers will now be tak­ing a clos­er look at the evidence.

Will the text­books have to be rewrit­ten? Stay tuned.

[Fur­ther study of the fos­sils in ques­tion have indi­cat­ed a nonor­gan­ic ori­gin for the struc­tures. The text­books were rewrit­ten. ‑Ed.]


Are estab­lished mem­bers of the so-called sci­en­tif­ic “priest­hood” immune to scruti­ny? Con­sid­er the case of recent exper­i­ments on organ­ic con­duc­tors by a group of respect­ed sci­en­tists at Bell Labs, the research arm of Lucent Tech­nolo­gies. The research was said to be of Nobel prize qual­i­ty, with the poten­tial to trans­form micro­elec­tron­ics. Said one sci­en­tist of the work, “I was blown out of my chair. I thought, ‘These guys are going to Stockholm.’ ”

But oth­er sci­en­tists have had dif­fi­cul­ty repro­duc­ing the results, cul­mi­nat­ing in charges that the Bell Lab sci­en­tists pub­lished iden­ti­cal data in papers describ­ing dif­fer­ent exper­i­ments. Coin­ci­dence, acci­den­tal mix-up, or duplic­i­ty? The jour­nals that pub­lished the ques­tion­able data quick­ly made their read­ers aware of the prob­lem. Bell Labs has appoint­ed a respect­ed out­side team of inves­ti­ga­tors to exam­ine the charges.

Rep­u­ta­tions are on the line. Stay tuned.

[The lead sci­en­tist of the Bell Labs group was lat­er found to have com­mit­ted seri­ous sci­en­tif­ic mis­con­duct and his doc­tor­al degree was revoked. ‑Ed.]


What every­one in these con­tro­ver­sies agrees on is the neces­si­ty of repro­ducibil­i­ty. It is the gold stan­dard of sci­ence that believ­ers and doubters alike should be able to per­form the same or sim­i­lar exper­i­ments and achieve the same or sim­i­lar results.

Writ­ing in Nature, Paul Grant, a sci­ence fel­low at the Elec­tric Pow­er Research Insti­tute in Cal­i­for­nia, said of the Bell Labs con­tro­ver­sy: “If you’ve got an excit­ing result that may send you to Stock­holm, the next thing to do, after you’ve estab­lished pub­li­ca­tion and patent pri­or­i­ty, is to get your worse com­peti­tor to repro­duce it.”

When sci­ence is work­ing at its best, any so-called “fact” is open to exam­i­na­tion by every­one com­pe­tent to do the exper­i­ments or make the rel­e­vant obser­va­tions. Yes, sci­ence is con­ser­v­a­tive, but it is not a closed shop. Let pro­po­nents of an uncon­ven­tion­al the­o­ry come up with con­sis­tent­ly repro­ducible, quan­ti­ta­tive evi­dence and you can be sure that — soon­er or lat­er — the “estab­lish­ment” will give even the wildest notion a fair hearing.

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