All you need is (eons) of time

All you need is (eons) of time

The lifeless surface of Mars • NASA/JPL/MSSS, processing by Olivier de Goursac (CC BY-SA 3.0)

Originally published 9 September 1996

The first media reports of evi­dence for life on Mars were pure NASA gush. Sci­en­tists dis­cov­er evi­dence of life on Mars. Give us a few bil­lion bucks and we’ll go look for it.

The next round of reports were ana­lyt­i­cal. What exact­ly is the nature of the evi­dence? How reli­able is it? What does it imply about the ori­gins of life?

As time passed, skep­ti­cism grew. Doubters found their voice. The win­now­ing engine of sci­ence began to sep­a­rate wheat from chaff.

The sci­en­tif­ic sto­ry soon gave way to com­men­tary on reli­gious and philo­soph­i­cal impli­ca­tions of the pur­port­ed dis­cov­ery. One more bump from our throne of unique­ness. First, Coper­ni­cus bumped us from the cen­ter of the phys­i­cal uni­verse. Then Dar­win bumped us from the cen­ter of time. Now we find that life on Earth, per­haps even intel­li­gent life, may be noth­ing special.

Now that the excite­ment has died down, we can con­sid­er the impli­ca­tions of life on Mars more reflectively.

Here are some core facts that set a con­text for the new discoveries:

Cer­tain mol­e­cules — such as DNA — have the abil­i­ty to repro­duce themselves.

When mol­e­cules repro­duce, occa­sion­al copy­ing errors are inevitable.

The vast major­i­ty of errors degrade the abil­i­ty of the mol­e­cules to repro­duce, but occa­sion­al­ly a change will make an off­spring mol­e­cule more effi­cient at copy­ing itself.

Geo­met­ric repro­duc­tion — two, four, eight, and so on — inevitably leads self-repro­duc­ing mol­e­cules into com­pe­ti­tion for the chem­i­cal resources nec­es­sary to make more molecules.

The rest, as they say, is his­to­ry. Giv­en any self-repro­duc­ing chem­i­cal sys­tem with ran­dom muta­tions, com­pe­ti­tion for resources, and enough time, evo­lu­tion by nat­ur­al selec­tion will inevitably fol­low. In such cir­cum­stances, evo­lu­tion is not just a the­o­ry but a log­i­cal necessity.

Accord­ing to con­tem­po­rary sci­ence, the diver­si­ty of life on Earth is a mag­nif­i­cent embroi­dery of chance and com­pe­ti­tion, both ran­dom and law­ful, a log­i­cal con­se­quence of the way the world is made. The human soul is part of the embroi­dery, a daz­zling fil­i­gree of mat­ter stitched into the fab­ric of time.

The big ques­tion is: Where did the first self-repro­duc­ing mol­e­cules come from?

Sci­ence does­n’t yet have an answer to that. But most mol­e­c­u­lar biol­o­gists believe that it is only a mat­ter of time before we do have an answer, and that the answer will be nat­ur­al, not super­nat­ur­al; that is, the first self-repro­duc­ing mol­e­cules arose spon­ta­neous­ly, per­haps even inevitably, from inan­i­mate matter.

The evi­dence from the Mar­t­ian mete­orite bears on this ques­tion. If life appeared inde­pen­dent­ly on Mars, then the odds become very much stronger that self-repro­duc­ing mol­e­cules are com­mon through­out the uni­verse. And although we do not yet know how it hap­pened, the appear­ance of life on Earth would seem much less miraculous.

The key word in the pre­vi­ous sen­tence is “inde­pen­dent­ly.”

If those curi­ous shapes in the mete­orite turn out to be fos­sils of liv­ing organ­isms, and if the mete­orite is def­i­nite­ly from our neigh­bor­ing plan­et, it still does­n’t nec­es­sar­i­ly mean that life on Earth and Mars hap­pened independently.

Life on Mars could have been seed­ed by life from Earth, rid­ing there on a mete­orite blast­ed from Earth ear­ly in the solar sys­tem’s his­to­ry. Or life on Earth may be descend­ed from Mar­t­ian microor­gan­isms blast­ed the oth­er way. Or (and this seems unlike­ly giv­en the extreme dis­tance between the stars) life on Earth and Mars might both have been seed­ed from a ubiq­ui­tous life stream in the universe.

If one of these pos­si­bil­i­ties turns out to be true, it won’t do much to increase our con­fi­dence that life hap­pens spon­ta­neous­ly. Life might still be, as far as we know, a mirac­u­lous one-off event, and the Earth would still retain the pos­si­bil­i­ty of being a very spe­cial place indeed, per­haps the most spe­cial place among the galaxies.

The clues in the mete­orite are tan­ta­liz­ing, but frus­trat­ing­ly inconclusive.

What’s to be done? We should look close­ly at the dozen or so oth­er known Mar­t­ian mete­orites. And, of course, we should go to Mars, search for life, and return with promis­ing mate­ri­als that can be exam­ined on Earth. We should prospect for life at oth­er places in the solar sys­tem. And we should lis­ten for sig­nals from space of an intel­li­gent origin.

Most impor­tant, we should con­tin­ue exper­i­ments in the lab­o­ra­to­ry on the spon­ta­neous ori­gin of life from inan­i­mate mat­ter. If sci­en­tists can cre­ate the con­di­tions where self-repro­duc­ing mol­e­cules appear in the lab with­out the help of already exist­ing DNA, RNA, or pro­teins, then we can be rea­son­ably cer­tain that life in the uni­verse is ubiquitous.

How­ev­er, lab­o­ra­to­ry sci­en­tists lack one essen­tial ingre­di­ent that was avail­able to Moth­er Nature when she pulled off her biggest “mir­a­cle” of all. Time. Eons and eons of time.


To date, no con­clu­sive proof for life ever hav­ing exist­ed on Mars has been found. ‑Ed.

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