A skeptical look

A skeptical look

A seminar at CSICon 2018 • Photo by Brian D. Engler (CC BY-SA 4.0)

Originally published 26 May 1986

Hap­py Anniver­sary, CSICOP!

Ten years ago [in 1976] a group of dis­tin­guished philoso­phers and sci­en­tists, dis­turbed by what they saw as a ris­ing tide of inter­est in astrol­o­gy and oth­er pseu­do-sci­ences, estab­lished the Com­mit­tee for the Sci­en­tif­ic Inves­ti­ga­tion of Claims of the Paranormal.

CSI­COP’s aim was to increase the qual­i­ty of sci­en­tif­ic inves­ti­ga­tions of para­nor­mal phe­nom­e­na by con­struc­tive crit­i­cism, and to expose and debunk invalid or fraud­u­lent claims. For a decade, CSICOP has pub­lished a jour­nal, The Skep­ti­cal Inquir­er, and host­ed annu­al con­fer­ences to raise pub­lic aware­ness of the dif­fer­ence between sci­ence and parascience.

Among the founders and ear­ly mem­bers of CSICOP were philoso­phers Paul Kurtz, Sid­ney Hook, Ernest Nagel, and W. V. Quine, astronomers George Abell, Bart Bok, and Carl Sagan, sci­ence writ­ers Isaac Asi­mov and Mar­tin Gard­ner, and magi­cian (and expert fraud-detec­tor) James Ran­di. Kurtz remains a dri­ving force behind the work of the committee.

I recent­ly asked Kendrick Fra­zier, edi­tor of The Skep­ti­cal Inquir­er, whether inter­est in para­nor­mal phe­nom­e­na has dimin­ished in the ten years since the found­ing of CSICOP. In Fra­zier’s opin­ion, the para­sciences remain as pop­u­lar as ever, although he detects a shift in sub­ject mat­ter and in the way para­nor­mal claims are communicated.

Changing interests

Accord­ing to Fra­zier, there is now less inter­est in what he calls “the astro-geo­phys­i­cal fringe sub­jects,” such as UFOs, ancient astro­nauts, and Velikovskian worlds-in-col­li­sion. In their place, there is increased inter­est in para­psy­cho­log­i­cal and health/medical pseudo-science.

Fra­zier claims that the num­ber of books on para­sciences is decreas­ing. Prac­ti­tion­ers of the fringe sci­ences are now more like­ly to com­mu­ni­cate their claims through newslet­ters, radio talk shows, and super­mar­ket tabloids.

Fra­zier made ref­er­ence to a Gallup poll pub­lished last year that showed that belief in astrol­o­gy has risen dra­mat­i­cal­ly among young peo­ple. Clear­ly, it remains as impor­tant as ever for the sci­en­tif­ic com­mu­ni­ty to make clear the dif­fer­ence between sci­ence and parascience.

Sci­ence is pub­lic knowl­edge. It is based upon obser­va­tions that can be repeat­ed by any inves­ti­ga­tor, believ­er or skep­tic, with uni­form results. For exam­ple, sci­en­tists may debate the agency or mode of evo­lu­tion, but the fos­sil record in the rocks is there for any­one with eyes to see. The “phe­nom­e­na” described by the para­sciences — such as extra-sen­so­ry per­cep­tion — are gen­er­al­ly dis­cernible only to advo­cates of those disciplines.

There are degrees of con­fi­dence in any sci­en­tif­ic the­o­ry, based upon the sound­ness of the evi­dence. The degree of con­fi­dence in the real­i­ty of bio­log­i­cal evo­lu­tion is extreme­ly high; so high that most sci­en­tists are pre­pared to say “fact.” The degree of con­fi­dence in ESP and astrol­o­gy is close to zero.

Checks and balances

No one claims that sci­ence is per­fect. Like any human activ­i­ty, sci­ence is sub­ject to the prej­u­dices and per­son­al­i­ty defects of indi­vid­u­als. But the sci­en­tif­ic com­mu­ni­ty has evolved a sys­tem of checks and bal­ances to ensure a fair hear­ing for any poten­tial­ly fruit­ful idea, while at the same time hold­ing at a dis­tance the tide of bogus opin­ion that con­stant­ly laps upon the shores of legit­i­mate pub­lic knowl­edge. The sys­tem occa­sion­al­ly slips, but on the whole it has worked very well.

In the March 13th [1986] issue of the British jour­nal Nature, psy­chol­o­gist David Marks gave a ten-year score card on the inves­ti­ga­tions by CSICOP. Over the decade, he wrote, a con­sid­er­able amount of fraud, error, and incom­pe­tence has been uncov­ered. Of more sig­nif­i­cance, not a sin­gle pub­licly repeat­able exper­i­ment involv­ing para­nor­mal phe­nom­e­na was encountered.

Marks con­clud­ed: “Para­science has all the qual­i­ties of a mag­i­cal sys­tem while wear­ing the man­tle of sci­ence. Until any sig­nif­i­cant dis­cov­er­ies are made, sci­ence can jus­ti­fi­ably ignore it, but it is impor­tant to say why: para­science is a pseu­do-sci­en­tif­ic sys­tem of untestable beliefs steeped in illu­sion, error, and fraud.”

The physi­cist Michael Fara­day once said: “Noth­ing is too won­der­ful to be true.” With that in mind, sci­ence must be open to the pos­si­bil­i­ty that an appar­ent­ly off­beat idea con­tains the seed of truth. At the same time, it is right to insist that cer­tain evi­den­tial cri­te­ria must be met for an idea to qual­i­fy as sci­ence. If sci­ence is open to any pri­vate vision of real­i­ty, then its use­ful­ness as pub­lic knowl­edge is severe­ly impaired.

When para­psy­chol­o­gy, astrol­o­gy, or oth­er pop­u­lar para­nor­mal “sci­ences,” can pro­duce a sin­gle con­vinc­ing exper­i­men­tal test of their claims — one that can be repeat­ed by skep­tics as well as believ­ers — only then can it lay claim to being legit­i­mate pub­lic knowl­edge. That is how these things are done in science…by definition.


CSICOP is still going strong in 2019, now known as CSI, or the Com­mit­tee for Skep­ti­cal Inquiry. CSI­Con, a con­fer­ence host­ed by CSI, is held annu­al­ly in Octo­ber. Alas, the gen­er­al pub­lic’s appetite for pseu­do­science con­tin­ues unabat­ed. ‑Ed.

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