Apocalypse now?

Apocalypse now?

Artist's impression of asteroid impact • Donald E. Davis (Public Domain)

Originally published 26 September 1988

I heard on the radio the oth­er day that a “rock­et sci­en­tist” had pre­dict­ed — with the aid of math­e­mat­i­cal equa­tions and bib­li­cal ref­er­ences — the immi­nent end of the world.

We will be hear­ing lots of this sort of thing as we draw clos­er to the year 2000. Apoc­a­lyp­tic fever seized Europe at the end of the first mil­len­ni­um, and it seems inevitable the same thing will hap­pen again. Already the har­bin­gers of doom are revving up their visions of Armageddon.

Dooms­day is deeply entrenched in human psy­chol­o­gy. Sto­ries of apoc­a­lypse are stock in trade for reli­gious prophets and writ­ers of sci­ence fic­tion. In few sto­ries, how­ev­er, does all of cre­ation per­ish. Usu­al­ly, a part of the world per­sists to become the germ for a new creation.

When the bib­li­cal del­uge sub­sided, Noah’s sons and their wives repop­u­lat­ed an emp­tied world. In Norse mythol­o­gy, Yggdrasil, the world-tree, sur­vived apoc­a­lypse to bear Lif and Lifthrasir, the par­ents of a new human race. Many Chris­tians look for­ward to a New Jerusalem that will rise from the ash­es of the present world’s destruc­tion. The sto­ries are end­less, the theme universal.

The scientific version

Sci­ence, too, has tales of almost gen­er­al extinc­tion, and of sur­vivors who are prog­en­i­tors of a new and bet­ter race. Promi­nent in recent years is the K‑T (Cre­ta­ceous-Ter­tiary) cat­a­stro­phe, an end-of-the-world sto­ry to end all sto­ries, with all the ele­ments of the clas­sic myth — fire and brim­stone, unspar­ing death, a sky that clears for the lucky few sur­vivors, a world remade.

The source of the sto­ry is an irid­i­um-rich lay­er of clay that is the glob­al bound­ary between sed­i­men­ta­ry rocks of Cre­ta­ceous age (130 – 65 mil­lion years, geo­log­ic sym­bol K) and rocks of Ter­tiary age (65 – 3 mil­lion years, geo­log­ic sym­bol T). It is now wide­ly believed that the clay is fall­out from an aster­oid col­li­sion with the Earth, and con­tains pul­ver­ized mate­r­i­al from the aster­oid (the source of the irid­i­um) and Earth mate­ri­als blast­ed from the impact crater.

The clay’s glob­al dis­tri­b­u­tion sug­gests that a huge quan­ti­ty of impact debris was loft­ed into the atmos­phere and car­ried world­wide by winds. For months or years, the Earth was wrapped in a dusty shroud that blocked the sun’s light and plunged the plan­et’s sur­face into cold and dark. The sever­i­ty of the trau­ma caused the final extinc­tion of the dinosaurs.

An arti­cle by Wendy Wol­bach, Ian Gilmour, Edward Anders, Charles Orth, and Robert Brooks in a [August 1988] issue of the jour­nal Nature adds new details to the sto­ry. The lan­guage is tech­ni­cal, but not even Hierony­mus Bosch, the Dutch mas­ter of apoc­a­lyp­tic visions, could paint a more ter­ri­fy­ing pic­ture of the end of a world.

Wol­bach and her col­leagues found soot in the clay, at sites as wide­ly dis­persed as Den­mark and New Zealand. The soot is con­cen­trat­ed at the bot­tom of the clay lay­er and is uni­form in com­po­si­tion. It appar­ent­ly came from a sin­gle glob­al fire ignit­ed by the aster­oid impact.

Here’s the way it works

The revised K‑T sce­nario goes some­thing like this: The dinosaurs, gar­gan­tu­an and dumb, have ruled the world for 200 mil­lion years. A mete­orite, 10 miles wide, hur­tles from the heav­ens to col­lide with Earth.

The impact blasts a crater the size of Rhode Island, heav­ing into the air colos­sal quan­ti­ties of pul­ver­ized rock. Ener­gy released by the col­li­sion heats the atmos­phere and dri­ves roar­ing winds across the con­ti­nents. Forests are ignit­ed and burn furi­ous­ly. The sun­light is extin­guished by clouds of dust and smoke. Poi­so­nous com­bus­tion gas­es fill the air.

Dinosaurs roar with fear and run before the flames. As the fires burn out, the tem­per­a­ture plum­mets. Pho­to­syn­the­sis ceas­es. Half the crea­tures in the sea per­ish, and no land ani­mal weigh­ing more than 50 pounds sur­vives. Tyran­nosaurus rex and Tricer­atops are vic­tims, with hun­dreds of oth­er dinosaur species. The long ascen­dan­cy of mon­sters ends.

As the dust set­tles and the skies clear, the quick-wit­ted mam­mals, long held in check by dinosaurs, emerge from their bur­rows to inher­it the Earth.

Of course, the sto­ry goes beyond sci­ence, beyond the iso­topic analy­sis of car­bon in ancient clays, beyond care­ful mea­sure­ments of rel­a­tive abun­dances of irid­i­um and soot. The sto­ry has over­tones of myth, as indeed it must, for we are raised on myths of apoc­a­lypse. Myths can be truth­ful; if it weren’t for the dinosaur’s dooms­day, we might not be here at all.

I recent­ly vis­it­ed a new dinosaur exhib­it at the Boston Muse­um of Sci­ence. It was a stir­ring expe­ri­ence — six incred­i­bly life­like beasts from the past, includ­ing Tyran­nosaurus rex and Tricer­atops, not quite life-size but big enough to intim­i­date even adults. They move, they stamp their feet, they roll their eyes, they roar. The exhi­bi­tion hall is dim­ly lit with eerie light and rever­ber­ates with the for­lorn cries of mon­sters faced with immi­nent extinc­tion. Maybe I let my imag­i­na­tion run away with me, but I felt the K‑T chill and smelled the poi­son in the air.

For kids, the ani­mat­ed dinosaur exhib­it is a spec­tac­u­lar evo­ca­tion of a race of giants that is no more. For grownups, it’s a won­der­ful place to con­tem­plate the end of the world.


The revised K‑T cat­a­stro­phe the­o­ry is now known as the Cre­ta­ceous-Pale­o­gene (K‑Pg) extinc­tion event. The aster­oid impact that killed the dinosaurs has been iden­ti­fied as coin­cid­ing with the Chicx­u­lub impact crater in Mex­i­co. ‑Ed.

Share this Musing: